Leading infectious disease specialist Anthony Fauci began predicting a “probable” fall coronavirus increase in the U.S. as early as April.
A month later, the Biden administration placed a number on the forecast: 100 million Americans, or close to a third of the nation’s population, might have COVID-19 infections during autumn and winter. The figure, they cautioned, was only a median estimate, so if a new variety appeared, there might be many more cases.
Since many people relied on at-home tests that aren’t reported to health agencies, coronavirus rates peaked in the summer at over 100,000 new cases daily. However, now, in September, they are declining.
The slump may end soon.
The trend might reverse as early as next month due to the combination of declining COVID-19 immunity and impending colder weather, which will cause more individuals to stay indoors.
Cartoons about the Coronavirus.
Children are leaving for school, while many workplaces are crowded with people at work. To “limit social and economic impacts,” federal agencies have significantly rolled back COVID-19 recommendations.
While the percentage of Americans who think the epidemic is improving has significantly decreased since spring, the nation is also reporting a record-low rate of mask use, suggesting a growing gap between the pandemic’s situation on the ground and the steps Americans are ready to do to battle it.
Uncertain if updated boosters will “change the game.”
The Biden administration expects that the upgraded coronavirus vaccines, which are being used for the first time in the United States, would be a useful tool in lowering transmission.
According to Peter Marks, the FDA’s top vaccine official, “we are looking at a possible fall wave with a peak, and by giving the booster now we will hopefully both control the current plateau that we’re in – even though we’re dropping off very slowly – and address this future potential wave that looms out there.”
“Hopefully offer us the protection we need through October, November, and December to prevent yet another wave that closes down things like Christmas preparations, etc.” he continued.
Threat Lingers in New Forms
If a new variation gains control, the Biden administration cautioned that the 100 million figure might rise. Experts are hopeful that there won’t be another Greek letter anytime soon at the moment.
Specifically, specialists claim it is improbable that a new variety would be both more transmissible allowing it to become dominant – and produce more severe illness.
As per Dowdy, “The virus doesn’t care if it makes someone severely sick or not.” “It only cares that it may spread from one person to the next. So, rather than severity, the virus is driven by transmission.
Close to 400 Americans still perish from the coronavirus every day on average. At this rate, there would be around 145,000 fatalities every year.